Cluster of human infections with avian influenza a (H7N9) cases: A temporal and spatial analysis

Yi Zhang, Zhixiong Shen, Chunna Ma, Chengsheng Jiang, Cindy Feng, Nivedita Shankar, Peng Yang, Wenjie Sun, Quanyi Wang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

31 Scopus citations

Abstract

Objectives: This study aims to describe the spatial and temporal characteristics of human infections with H7N9 virus in China using data from February 2013 to March 2014 from the websites of every province’s Population and Family Planning Commission. Methods: A human infection with H7N9 virus dataset was summarized by county to analyze its spatial clustering, and by date of illness onset to analyze its space-time clustering using the ESRI® Geographic Information System (GIS) software ArcMap™ 10.1 and SatScan. Results: Based on active surveillance data, the distribution map of H7N9 cases shows that compared to the rest of China, the areas from near the Yangtze River delta (YRD) to farther south around the Pearl River delta (PRD) had the highest densities of H7N9 cases. The case data shows a strong space-time clustering in the areas on and near the YRD from 26 March to 18 April 2013 and a weak space-time clustering only in the areas on and near the PRD between 3 and 4 February 2014. However, for the rest of the study period, H7N9 cases were spatial-temporally randomly distributed. Conclusions: Our results suggested that the spatial-temporal clustering of H7N9 in China between 2013 and 2014 is fundamentally different.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)816-828
Number of pages13
JournalInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Volume12
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 15 Jan 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Clustering
  • GIS
  • H7N9
  • Influenza A
  • SatScan
  • Space-time

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